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Changes for page Immigration

Last modified by Ryan C on 2025/06/22 18:14
From version 20.1
edited by Ryan C
on 2025/06/21 11:41
Change comment: Uploaded new attachment "SummaryEN.pdf", version {1}
To version 21.1
edited by Ryan C
on 2025/06/21 11:42
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

Summary

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... ... @@ -13,11 +13,11 @@
13 13  **Subject Matter:** *Immigration policy, fiscal sustainability, welfare state, demographic projections*
14 14  
15 15  {{expandable summary="📊 Key Statistics"}}
16 -1. **Total Net Cost (1995–2019):** ~€400 billion
16 +1. **Total Net Cost (1995–2019):** €400 billion
17 17  2. **Projected Cost by 2040:** Exceeds €1 trillion if trends continue
18 18  3. **Annual Fiscal Cost in 2016:** €32 billion
19 19  4. **Second Generation Still Net Negative:** Despite education improvements
20 -5. **Cito Score Correlation:** +€20,000 per 1-point increase
20 +5. **Cito Score Correlation:** +€20,000 per 1-point increase 
21 21  {{/expandable}}
22 22  
23 23  {{expandable summary="🔬 Findings"}}
... ... @@ -26,21 +26,17 @@
26 26  Only labour migration yields positive fiscal returns. Other categories—study, family, asylum—are net burdens.
27 27  
28 28  (% id="immigrationMotive" %)
29 -|=Motive|=Labour|=Study|=Family|=Asylum|
30 -|Estimate A|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
31 -|Estimate B|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
29 +|=Motive|=Labour|=Study|=Family|=Asylum|
30 +|Estimate A|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
31 +|Estimate B|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
32 32  
33 -{{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D"
34 - params="table:immigrationMotive;range:B2-E3;series:columns;
33 +{{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D" params="table:immigrationMotive;range:B2-E3;series:columns;
35 35   legendVisible:true;
36 36   plotBorderVisible:false;
37 37   backgroundColor:FFFFFF;
38 38   plotBackgroundColor:F9F9F9;
39 39   borderColor:FFFFFF;
40 - colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2"
41 - title="Fiscal Impact by Immigration Motive (3D View)"
42 - width="800" height="360"}}
43 -{{/chart}}
39 + colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2" title="Fiscal Impact by Immigration Motive (3D View)" width="800" height="360"}}{{/chart}}
44 44  
45 45  2. **By Region of Origin:**
46 46  
... ... @@ -47,26 +47,21 @@
47 47  Western migrants contribute marginally, while those from Islamic and African regions are highly negative. Japan/NA/Oceania immigrants are highly positive.
48 48  
49 49  (% id="immigrationRegion" %)
50 -|=Region|=Western (avg.)|=Non-Western (avg.)|=Japan/NA/Oceania|=Morocco|=Horn of Africa/Sudan|
51 -|Estimate A|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
52 -|Estimate B|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
46 +|=Region|=Western (avg.)|=Non-Western (avg.)|=Japan/NA/Oceania|=Morocco|=Horn of Africa/Sudan|
47 +|Estimate A|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
48 +|Estimate B|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
53 53  
54 -{{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D"
55 - params="table:immigrationRegion;range:B2-F3;series:columns;
50 +{{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D" params="table:immigrationRegion;range:B2-F3;series:columns;
56 56   legendVisible:true;
57 57   plotBorderVisible:false;
58 58   backgroundColor:FFFFFF;
59 59   plotBackgroundColor:F9F9F9;
60 60   borderColor:FFFFFF;
61 - colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2,59A14F"
62 - title="Fiscal Impact by Region of Origin (3D View)"
63 - width="800" height="360"}}
64 -{{/chart}}
56 + colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2,59A14F" title="Fiscal Impact by Region of Origin (3D View)" width="800" height="360"}}{{/chart}}
65 65  
66 66  3. **Demographic Pressure:**
67 67  
68 68  Maintaining current dependency ratio would require a population of 100 million by 2100.
69 -
70 70  {{/expandable}}
71 71  
72 72  {{expandable summary="📝 Critique & Observations"}}
... ... @@ -83,7 +83,6 @@
83 83   - Disaggregate scores by family structure
84 84   - Add enforcement cost modeling
85 85   - Compare against control group baselines
86 -
87 87  {{/expandable}}
88 88  
89 89  {{expandable summary="📌 Relevance to Subproject"}}
... ... @@ -95,7 +95,7 @@
95 95  {{expandable summary="🔍 Suggestions for Further Exploration"}}
96 96  1. Compare these fiscal trends to France and Sweden
97 97  2. Estimate cultural cohesion loss alongside fiscal cost
98 -3. Track welfare dependence by cohort length and generation
88 +3. Track welfare dependence by cohort length and generation 
99 99  {{/expandable}}
100 100  
101 101  {{expandable summary="📄 Download Full Study"}}
... ... @@ -102,5 +102,3 @@
102 102  [[Download Full Study>>attach:SummaryEN.pdf]]
103 103  {{/expandable}}
104 104  {{/expandable}}
105 -
106 -