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Wiki source code of Immigration

Version 22.1 by Ryan C on 2025/06/21 12:01

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1 = American Immigration: Origins, Shifts, and Consequences =
2
3 This page explores the legislative, demographic, and fiscal history of immigration to the United States—from the Naturalization Act of 1790 to the post-1965 Hart-Celler paradigm shift—integrating findings from recent economic impact studies and Census projections.
4
5 == Historical Foundation ==
6
7 - **1790 Naturalization Act**: Limited citizenship to “free White persons of good character.”
8 - **1882 Chinese Exclusion Act**: First significant federal restriction targeting a specific ethnic group.
9 - **1924 Johnson-Reed Act**: Capped immigration by nationality to preserve historic U.S. demographics.
10 - **1965 Hart-Celler Act**: Abolished quotas; shifted focus to family reunification and skills, radically altering immigration origins.
11
12 *Note: The “Give me your tired…” poem was added to the Statue of Liberty in 1903 by Emma Lazarus, 17 years after the statue was gifted. It was not part of the statue’s original meaning.*
13
14 == Demographic Projections ==
15
16 (% id="populationProjections" %)
17 |=Scenario|=2060 US Pop.|=Change vs. 2017|=Working-Age Ratio|=Immigrants Needed to Maintain Ratio|
18 |Current Trend|404 million|+79 million|2.5:1|n/a|
19 |Stabilization|354 million|+29 million|2.2:1|n/a|
20 |Maintain Ratio|706 million|+381 million|3.0:1|5× more than projected|
21
22 * - **95%** of U.S. population growth by 2060 will come from immigration and their descendants.
23 * - **Raising the retirement age by two years** has the same effect on dependency ratios as all projected immigration.
24
25 == Fiscal Cost of Immigration ==
26
27
28
29
30
31 = Immigration and the Fiscal Burden on the Dutch Welfare State =
32
33 The 2023 report //Borderless Welfare State// presents a comprehensive analysis of immigration's impact on Dutch public finances. Between 1995 and 2019, immigration—including the second generation—incurred a net fiscal cost of approximately €400 billion. Projections indicate that, if current patterns continue, this figure could exceed €1 trillion by 2040.
34
35 This cost arises from increased per capita spending on education, healthcare, social security, and justice services for immigrants, combined with lower average tax contributions. In 2016 alone, the net fiscal cost of immigration peaked at €32 billion.
36
37 {{expandable summary="Study: Borderless Welfare State – The Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the Netherlands"}}
38 **Source:** *Demo-Demo Publisher (Netherlands)*
39 **Date of Publication:** *2023*
40 **Author(s):** *Jan van de Beek, Hans Roodenburg, Joop Hartog, Gerrit Kreffer*
41 **Title:** *"Borderless Welfare State: Immigration and the Sustainability of Dutch Public Finances"*
42 **DOI:** N/A
43 **Subject Matter:** *Immigration policy, fiscal sustainability, welfare state, demographic projections*
44
45 {{expandable summary="📊 Key Statistics"}}
46 1. **Total Net Cost (1995–2019):** €400 billion
47 2. **Projected Cost by 2040:** Exceeds €1 trillion if trends continue
48 3. **Annual Fiscal Cost in 2016:** €32 billion
49 4. **Second Generation Still Net Negative:** Despite education improvements
50 5. **Cito Score Correlation:** +€20,000 per 1-point increase 
51 {{/expandable}}
52
53 {{expandable summary="🔬 Findings"}}
54 1. **By Immigration Motive:**
55
56 Only labour migration yields positive fiscal returns. Other categories—study, family, asylum—are net burdens.
57
58 (% id="immigrationMotive" %)
59 |=Motive|=Labour|=Study|=Family|=Asylum|
60 |Estimate A|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
61 |Estimate B|125000|-75000|-275000|-475000|
62
63 {{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D" params="table:immigrationMotive;range:B2-E3;series:columns;
64 legendVisible:true;
65 plotBorderVisible:false;
66 backgroundColor:FFFFFF;
67 plotBackgroundColor:F9F9F9;
68 borderColor:FFFFFF;
69 colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2" title="Fiscal Impact by Immigration Motive (3D View)" width="800" height="360"}}{{/chart}}
70
71 2. **By Region of Origin:**
72
73 Western migrants contribute marginally, while those from Islamic and African regions are highly negative. Japan/NA/Oceania immigrants are highly positive.
74
75 (% id="immigrationRegion" %)
76 |=Region|=Western (avg.)|=Non-Western (avg.)|=Japan/NA/Oceania|=Morocco|=Horn of Africa/Sudan|
77 |Estimate A|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
78 |Estimate B|25000|-275000|200000|-550000|-600000|
79
80 {{chart source="xdom" type="bar3D" params="table:immigrationRegion;range:B2-F3;series:columns;
81 legendVisible:true;
82 plotBorderVisible:false;
83 backgroundColor:FFFFFF;
84 plotBackgroundColor:F9F9F9;
85 borderColor:FFFFFF;
86 colors=4E79A7,F28E2B,E15759,76B7B2,59A14F" title="Fiscal Impact by Region of Origin (3D View)" width="800" height="360"}}{{/chart}}
87
88 3. **Demographic Pressure:**
89
90 Maintaining current dependency ratio would require a population of 100 million by 2100.
91 {{/expandable}}
92
93 {{expandable summary="📝 Critique & Observations"}}
94 1. **Strengths of the Study:**
95 - Includes second-generation effects
96 - Clear cost modeling by motive & origin
97 - Connects fiscal performance to educational scores
98
99 2. **Limitations:**
100 - No cost breakdown by sector
101 - Limited modeling of non-fiscal outcomes
102
103 3. **Suggestions for Improvement:**
104 - Disaggregate scores by family structure
105 - Add enforcement cost modeling
106 - Compare against control group baselines
107 {{/expandable}}
108
109 {{expandable summary="📌 Relevance to Subproject"}}
110 - Demonstrates the structural fiscal unsustainability of mass immigration
111 - Highlights the value of selective, skilled migration with native integration
112 - Useful for countering myths about second-generation economic assimilation
113 {{/expandable}}
114
115 {{expandable summary="🔍 Suggestions for Further Exploration"}}
116 1. Compare these fiscal trends to France and Sweden
117 2. Estimate cultural cohesion loss alongside fiscal cost
118 3. Track welfare dependence by cohort length and generation 
119 {{/expandable}}
120
121 {{expandable summary="📄 Download Full Study"}}
122 [[Download Full Study>>attach:SummaryEN.pdf]]
123 {{/expandable}}
124 {{/expandable}}

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