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Changes for page Immigration

Last modified by Ryan C on 2025/06/22 18:14

From version 3.1
edited by Ryan C
on 2025/06/21 10:34
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To version 4.1
edited by Ryan C
on 2025/06/21 10:36
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

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1 1  = **BORDERLESS WELFARE STATE** =
2 2  
3 -== **The Consequences of Immigration for Public Finances** ==
4 4  
5 -=== //Key Findings and Analysis// ===
6 6  
7 -=== **1. Fiscal Impact of Immigration** ===
8 8  
6 +=== Fiscal Impact of Immigration ===
7 +
9 9  * **€400 billion**: Total net cost of immigration to the Netherlands from **1995-2019**, equivalent to the country's total natural gas revenues since the 1960s.
10 10  * **€27 billion annually**: Current estimated burden of immigration on Dutch public finances.
11 11  * Projected increase: From **€17 billion in 2016** to **€50 billion annually** if trends continue.
12 12  
13 -=== **2. Contribution by Immigration Type** ===
12 +=== Contribution by Immigration Type ===
14 14  
15 15  * **Labour Immigration**: **+€125,000** net contribution per person.
16 16  * **Study Immigration**: **-€75,000** net cost per person.
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17 17  * **Family Immigration**: **-€275,000** net cost per person.
18 18  * **Asylum Immigration**: **-€475,000** net cost per person.
19 19  
20 -=== **3. Contribution by Region of Origin** ===
19 +=== Contribution by Region of Origin ===
21 21  
22 22  * **Western Immigrants**: **+€25,000** average contribution.
23 23  * **Non-Western Immigrants**: **-€275,000** per person on average.
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24 24  * Highest fiscal costs: Immigrants from **Morocco and the Horn of Africa**, reaching up to **-€600,000** per person.
25 25  * Positive contributors: Immigrants from **Japan, North America, and Oceania**, averaging **+€200,000** per person.
26 26  
27 -=== **4. Long-Term Population Impact** ===
26 +=== Long-Term Population Impact ===
28 28  
29 29  * Dutch population would need to grow to **100 million by 2100** to maintain the current welfare state dependency ratio.
30 30  * Immigration is **not a sustainable solution** to the aging population due to declining fertility rates among immigrant groups.
31 31  
32 -=== **5. Second-Generation Performance** ===
31 +=== Second-Generation Performance ===
33 33  
34 34  * Despite improvements, second-generation immigrants remain a **net fiscal burden** overall.
35 35  * **Cito test scores:** Each additional point increase correlates with an improvement of **€20,000** in lifetime fiscal contribution.
36 36  
37 -=== **6. Policy Recommendations** ===
36 +=== Policy Recommendations ===
38 38  
39 39  * A **selective immigration policy** focusing on high-skilled workers could alleviate fiscal pressure.
40 40  * Without policy reform, the welfare system may become unsustainable.
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41 41  
42 42  ----
43 43  
44 -=== **Implications** ===
43 +=== Implications ===
45 45  
46 46  * Immigration trends pose a significant challenge to public finances.
47 47  * Policymakers must consider balancing social inclusivity with economic sustainability.
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49 49  
50 50  ----
51 51  
52 -=== **References** ===
51 +=== References ===
53 53  
54 54  * [[Full Report PDF>>/pdfs/borderless_welfare_state-2-1.pdf]]
55 55